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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.97+3.87vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.29+2.43vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+1.47vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.28+0.17vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.74-1.72vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.91-1.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-1.05vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-2.60vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.61-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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4.43University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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4.47College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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4.17Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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3.28Yale University3.740.3%1st Place
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4.97Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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5.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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5.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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7.46Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Luna | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 6.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 9.5% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 14.1% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| Marlena Fauer | 25.9% | 19.8% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Kaye Siemers | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 6.2% |
| Lauren Cefali | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 20.5% | 14.8% |
| Laura Dunphy | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 11.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 51.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.