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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.91+4.32vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.38+4.79vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+2.64vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.12+5.97vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+0.60vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.07+3.85vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.38+3.85vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.30+2.69vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.46+2.84vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.40-2.57vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.39-0.84vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.29-3.81vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.38-6.16vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.87-1.22vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.59-4.04vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.81vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-8.06vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32Brown University2.9113.3%1st Place
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6.79Bowdoin College2.388.6%1st Place
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5.64Yale University2.4212.4%1st Place
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9.97Harvard University2.123.8%1st Place
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5.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.8%1st Place
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9.85Roger Williams University2.073.1%1st Place
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10.85University of Rhode Island1.383.5%1st Place
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10.69Tufts University1.303.1%1st Place
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11.84Salve Regina University0.462.1%1st Place
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7.43Boston College2.406.9%1st Place
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10.16Boston University1.393.6%1st Place
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8.19Connecticut College2.297.2%1st Place
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6.84Dartmouth College2.388.4%1st Place
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12.78University of Vermont0.872.1%1st Place
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10.96Northeastern University1.592.5%1st Place
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14.19Maine Maritime Academy0.411.3%1st Place
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8.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.3%1st Place
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14.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.3% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 12.4% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Jonathan Riley | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| William Michels | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 11.9% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 17.3% | 26.8% |
| Maks Groom | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 17.0% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.