← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.91+4.40vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.22+5.28vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.12+7.00vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.42+1.90vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.40+2.65vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College2.38+1.08vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-1.24vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.38-0.87vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.39+1.42vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-0.74vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College2.29-2.64vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont0.71+1.01vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University0.46-1.00vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University2.07-3.91vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.07-2.92vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island1.61-5.51vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy0.41-2.72vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.4Brown University2.9112.6%1st Place
-
7.28Tufts University2.228.2%1st Place
-
10.0Harvard University2.124.0%1st Place
-
5.9Yale University2.4211.1%1st Place
-
7.65Boston College2.406.3%1st Place
-
7.08Dartmouth College2.387.8%1st Place
-
5.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4812.2%1st Place
-
7.13Bowdoin College2.387.8%1st Place
-
10.42Boston University1.392.7%1st Place
-
9.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.3%1st Place
-
8.36Connecticut College2.296.2%1st Place
-
13.01University of Vermont0.711.7%1st Place
-
12.0Salve Regina University0.462.1%1st Place
-
10.09Roger Williams University2.073.6%1st Place
-
12.08Northeastern University1.072.7%1st Place
-
10.49University of Rhode Island1.613.9%1st Place
-
14.28Maine Maritime Academy0.411.8%1st Place
-
14.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.6% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Maks Groom | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 12.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 7.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.0% |
| Miles Williams | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 20.1% | 25.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.