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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.28+3.20vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.29+2.35vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.97+1.81vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+1.22vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+0.62vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.61+1.37vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.74-3.75vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.74-2.71vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.91-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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4.35University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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4.81Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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5.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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7.37Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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3.25Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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5.29College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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4.89Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 15.0% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 11.8% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 4.3% |
| Laura Dunphy | 8.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 9.5% |
| Lauren Cefali | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 14.6% |
| Victoria Miller | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 16.6% | 48.9% |
| Marlena Fauer | 23.1% | 21.3% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Mackey | 10.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 9.5% |
| Kaye Siemers | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.