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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.22+6.49vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+3.79vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.38+3.81vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.50vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.29+3.43vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.12+4.31vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+1.96vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.40-0.41vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.38-2.03vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.61+0.57vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.91-5.61vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.07-1.98vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.46-0.98vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.71-1.04vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.39-4.65vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.49vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.07-4.78vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49Tufts University2.227.0%1st Place
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5.79Yale University2.4210.8%1st Place
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6.81Bowdoin College2.3810.1%1st Place
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5.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4813.2%1st Place
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8.43Connecticut College2.295.9%1st Place
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10.31Harvard University2.123.7%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.6%1st Place
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7.59Boston College2.406.3%1st Place
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6.97Dartmouth College2.388.4%1st Place
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10.57University of Rhode Island1.612.4%1st Place
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5.39Brown University2.9112.7%1st Place
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10.02Roger Williams University2.074.2%1st Place
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12.02Salve Regina University0.462.2%1st Place
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12.96University of Vermont0.711.9%1st Place
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10.35Boston University1.393.1%1st Place
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14.51Maine Maritime Academy0.410.9%1st Place
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12.22Northeastern University1.072.2%1st Place
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15.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Mueller | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Maks Groom | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| William Michels | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Miles Williams | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.7% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 7.2% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 11.7% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 18.5% | 25.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 7.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.