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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.75vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.07+7.97vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.29+5.36vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.38+2.97vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.40+2.61vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+3.12vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.91-1.57vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.12+2.16vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.38-2.13vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.42-4.17vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.22-3.69vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.41+2.40vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.38-2.12vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.46-2.07vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.07-3.10vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.39-5.54vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.93vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.71-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.6%1st Place
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9.97Roger Williams University2.074.2%1st Place
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8.36Connecticut College2.295.6%1st Place
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6.97Dartmouth College2.388.2%1st Place
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7.61Boston College2.406.9%1st Place
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9.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.5%1st Place
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5.43Brown University2.9113.6%1st Place
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10.16Harvard University2.123.4%1st Place
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6.87Bowdoin College2.388.5%1st Place
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5.83Yale University2.4210.8%1st Place
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7.31Tufts University2.227.0%1st Place
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14.4Maine Maritime Academy0.411.0%1st Place
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10.88University of Rhode Island1.383.4%1st Place
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11.93Salve Regina University0.462.3%1st Place
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11.9Northeastern University1.072.9%1st Place
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10.46Boston University1.394.2%1st Place
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15.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.9%1st Place
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13.0University of Vermont0.711.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| William Michels | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Maks Groom | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.6% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 19.1% | 26.8% |
| Jonathan Riley | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 6.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 7.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 18.9% | 35.3% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.