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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.91+4.04vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+1.50vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.28+1.31vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+0.33vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.29-0.86vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-0.14vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-1.55vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.61-0.53vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.97-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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3.5Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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4.31Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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4.33College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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4.14University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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5.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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5.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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7.47Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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4.9Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaye Siemers | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 6.6% |
| Marlena Fauer | 18.8% | 20.3% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Nancy Hagood | 14.5% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 13.1% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 15.0% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Lauren Cefali | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 18.5% | 14.1% |
| Laura Dunphy | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 9.8% |
| Victoria Miller | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 52.4% |
| Andrea Luna | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.