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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+2.34vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.58+3.62vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+0.26vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.60-0.24vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.73-0.22vs Predicted
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6University of Florida-0.98+1.54vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.46+0.74vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.03-1.44vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-0.27-1.85vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-1.67-0.18vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.03-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Jacksonville University-1.3822.1%1st Place
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5.62Rollins College0.586.9%1st Place
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3.26College of Charleston1.8123.1%1st Place
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3.76University of South Florida1.6017.4%1st Place
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4.78Clemson University0.739.8%1st Place
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7.54University of Florida-0.983.2%1st Place
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7.74University of North Carolina-0.462.6%1st Place
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6.56University of Miami-0.034.9%1st Place
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7.15Florida State University-0.274.3%1st Place
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9.82University of Central Florida-1.670.6%1st Place
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6.43North Carolina State University-0.035.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emily Allen | 22.1% | 18.7% | 17.7% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Shay Bridge | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
Emma Tallman | 23.1% | 20.1% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Kay Brunsvold | 17.4% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Nilah Miller | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Natalie Ryder | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 19.9% | 9.3% |
May Proctor | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 21.4% | 12.3% |
Arantxa Argibay | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 3.8% |
Tia Schoening | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 7.0% |
Rain Hong | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 14.0% | 62.0% |
Annika Milstien | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.