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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.40+0.35vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.91+0.40vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.32-0.06vs Predicted
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4Yale University0.34-0.14vs Predicted
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5Bentley University-0.45-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.35Brown University3.400.7%1st Place
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2.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.910.2%1st Place
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2.94Yale University1.320.1%1st Place
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3.86Yale University0.340.0%1st Place
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4.45Bentley University-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikolas Osvalds | 71.7% | 22.4% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Chronert | 15.6% | 43.0% | 28.9% | 11.2% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Ell | 8.8% | 23.2% | 37.7% | 25.5% | 4.8% |
| Zachary Foreman | 2.6% | 7.6% | 19.5% | 41.8% | 28.5% |
| Ben Dexter | 1.3% | 3.8% | 9.1% | 20.4% | 65.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.