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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.71vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.38+9.00vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.91+2.29vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.22+3.56vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+4.07vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.38+0.87vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.42-1.32vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.07+4.11vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.71+3.95vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.40-2.45vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.29-2.59vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.07-1.98vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.12-2.86vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.38-7.05vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.46-2.94vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.67vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.39-6.62vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4812.2%1st Place
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11.0University of Rhode Island1.382.9%1st Place
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5.29Brown University2.9113.7%1st Place
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7.56Tufts University2.226.3%1st Place
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9.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.7%1st Place
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6.87Dartmouth College2.389.0%1st Place
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5.68Yale University2.4212.0%1st Place
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12.11Northeastern University1.072.3%1st Place
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12.95University of Vermont0.711.5%1st Place
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7.55Boston College2.406.9%1st Place
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8.41Connecticut College2.295.9%1st Place
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10.02Roger Williams University2.073.6%1st Place
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10.14Harvard University2.123.8%1st Place
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6.95Bowdoin College2.388.0%1st Place
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12.06Salve Regina University0.461.8%1st Place
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14.33Maine Maritime Academy0.411.2%1st Place
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10.38Boston University1.393.0%1st Place
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14.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Riley | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.7% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Maks Groom | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| William Michels | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 8.3% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 12.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 5.9% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 26.3% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 17.8% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.