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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.28+3.26vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+4.12vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.29+1.31vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74-0.73vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20-0.69vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.97-1.15vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.91-1.96vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.61-0.56vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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4.31University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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3.27Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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4.31College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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4.85Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.04Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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7.44Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 14.4% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 19.5% | 18.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 14.7% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 2.6% |
| Marlena Fauer | 22.2% | 21.5% | 18.2% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Grace Lucas | 14.0% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 3.2% |
| Andrea Luna | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 5.8% |
| Kaye Siemers | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 6.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 16.1% | 50.7% |
| Laura Dunphy | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.