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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+2.39vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.28+2.46vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+3.02vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+1.12vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20-0.66vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.29-1.78vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.91-1.92vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.97-3.10vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.61-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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4.46Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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5.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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4.34College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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4.22University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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5.08Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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4.9Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.47Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 22.9% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Nancy Hagood | 10.5% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 2.6% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 19.4% | 16.8% |
| Chloe Lepert | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 7.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 14.2% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 14.3% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Kaye Siemers | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 7.2% |
| Andrea Luna | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 6.2% |
| Victoria Miller | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 16.0% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.