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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.91+4.06vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.29+2.46vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+2.29vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+0.33vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.28-0.82vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.97-1.11vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.74-3.60vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.61-0.51vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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4.46University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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5.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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4.33College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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4.18Georgetown University3.280.2%1st Place
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4.89Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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3.4Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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7.49Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaye Siemers | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 6.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 10.4% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Chloe Lepert | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 7.9% |
| Grace Lucas | 12.8% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Nancy Hagood | 15.4% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Andrea Luna | 11.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 6.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 21.8% | 19.8% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 53.3% |
| Lauren Cefali | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 19.2% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.