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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.39+3.85vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+2.98vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+0.21vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.68+2.72vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.22+0.18vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.29-1.01vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.86-1.15vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.94+0.01vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.90-2.98vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University0.51+0.18vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.81-5.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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4.98Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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3.21St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.2%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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5.18College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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4.99University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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5.85College of Charleston2.860.1%1st Place
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8.01University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
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6.02Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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10.18Northwestern University0.510.0%1st Place
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5.99Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Wilson | 9.6% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Emily Billing | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 24.9% | 19.7% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sara Burke | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 4.2% |
| Corey Hall | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 11.5% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Kathryn Metscher | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 2.1% |
| Mary Cummins | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 27.8% | 14.2% |
| Emilie Mademann | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 2.5% |
| Francesca Ferrero | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 11.8% | 71.9% |
| Lauren Burke | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.