← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rollins College0.58+4.47vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University0.73+2.73vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida1.60+0.69vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston1.81-0.66vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University-1.38-1.71vs Predicted
-
6University of Florida-0.98+1.64vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University-0.03-0.59vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami-0.03-1.39vs Predicted
-
9University of Central Florida-1.67+0.85vs Predicted
-
10Florida State University-0.27-2.84vs Predicted
-
11University of North Carolina-0.46-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.47Rollins College0.588.2%1st Place
-
4.73Clemson University0.739.7%1st Place
-
3.69University of South Florida1.6018.4%1st Place
-
3.34College of Charleston1.8121.1%1st Place
-
3.29Jacksonville University-1.3821.5%1st Place
-
7.64University of Florida-0.983.0%1st Place
-
6.41North Carolina State University-0.034.6%1st Place
-
6.61University of Miami-0.035.3%1st Place
-
9.85University of Central Florida-1.670.9%1st Place
-
7.16Florida State University-0.273.9%1st Place
-
7.81University of North Carolina-0.463.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shay Bridge | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 9.7% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 18.4% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 21.1% | 19.7% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 21.5% | 21.1% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Ryder | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 19.5% | 10.1% |
| Annika Milstien | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 3.1% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 4.2% |
| Rain Hong | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 61.2% |
| Tia Schoening | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 6.8% |
| May Proctor | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 20.7% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.