← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Charles Rees 73.9% 19.2% 5.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Edwin Strong 4.7% 19.8% 24.6% 17.2% 13.7% 11.5% 6.9% 1.4% 0.2%
Samuel Hodges 4.3% 12.7% 15.5% 15.5% 17.2% 17.1% 13.2% 3.8% 0.7%
John Reddaway 6.4% 17.6% 19.6% 17.4% 16.6% 13.4% 6.4% 2.4% 0.2%
Jackson Morton 1.2% 3.6% 3.7% 8.8% 8.3% 12.2% 24.6% 24.2% 13.4%
John Lindahl 4.1% 11.0% 12.6% 16.0% 18.1% 20.0% 12.6% 4.7% 0.9%
Benton Morton 3.8% 12.6% 15.3% 17.6% 18.6% 16.2% 11.2% 4.1% 0.6%
Thomas Andrews 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 2.7% 3.6% 3.7% 9.6% 24.7% 52.5%
Lauren McLean 0.9% 2.3% 2.1% 3.5% 3.7% 5.8% 15.5% 34.7% 31.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.