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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.22+6.98vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.87+4.05vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+2.36vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55-0.04vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.62+4.88vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+1.93vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.07-0.09vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99+0.78vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.79-2.53vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.97+0.38vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.92-5.38vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-3.27vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.69-3.65vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-3.39vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.05-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.98Northeastern University1.225.1%1st Place
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6.05Dartmouth College1.879.7%1st Place
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5.36Boston College2.0911.1%1st Place
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3.96Yale University2.5519.4%1st Place
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9.88Roger Williams University0.623.5%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.0%1st Place
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6.91Bowdoin College2.076.9%1st Place
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8.78University of Rhode Island0.994.7%1st Place
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6.47Harvard University1.7910.0%1st Place
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10.38Salve Regina University0.972.8%1st Place
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5.62Brown University1.9211.3%1st Place
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8.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.083.9%1st Place
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9.35Tufts University0.693.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Vermont0.482.3%1st Place
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12.0Boston University-0.051.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 19.4% | 18.9% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 9.8% |
| Emma Snead | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% |
| Marbella Marlo | 10.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 14.8% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 15.7% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.