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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+2.98vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.09+3.45vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.92+2.78vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.07+3.04vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.22+2.99vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.79+0.52vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.99+1.56vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.87-1.91vs Predicted
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9Boston University-0.05+3.03vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.62-0.16vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-3.17vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.69-2.66vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-4.22vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-3.57vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Yale University2.5519.4%1st Place
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5.45Boston College2.0911.5%1st Place
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5.78Brown University1.9210.8%1st Place
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7.04Bowdoin College2.077.0%1st Place
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7.99Northeastern University1.225.2%1st Place
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6.52Harvard University1.798.5%1st Place
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8.56University of Rhode Island0.994.3%1st Place
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6.09Dartmouth College1.8710.2%1st Place
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12.03Boston University-0.051.2%1st Place
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9.84Roger Williams University0.622.3%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.2%1st Place
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9.34Tufts University0.694.1%1st Place
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8.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.084.0%1st Place
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10.43University of Vermont0.482.8%1st Place
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10.34Salve Regina University0.972.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 19.4% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 35.9% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 9.8% |
| Emma Snead | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 7.0% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 16.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.