← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Wesley Wallace 7.5% 8.8% 10.9% 14.1% 16.3% 23.5% 16.3% 2.6%
Katherine Baker 32.4% 23.4% 18.3% 14.0% 7.7% 3.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Hugh Forester-Bennett 16.1% 16.5% 18.0% 17.6% 15.7% 11.3% 4.1% 0.7%
Marten Kendrick 17.9% 19.2% 18.8% 16.5% 15.7% 8.4% 3.3% 0.2%
David Rogers 14.3% 18.9% 18.6% 16.0% 15.8% 11.7% 4.5% 0.2%
Alexander Katsis 8.3% 9.0% 11.2% 15.9% 17.9% 20.7% 15.1% 1.9%
Logan Little 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 2.2% 3.6% 12.4% 77.8%
Matthew Weber 2.7% 3.0% 3.0% 5.1% 8.7% 17.5% 43.4% 16.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.