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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.07+5.87vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.10vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.99+5.55vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.79+2.51vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.09+0.49vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.87+0.11vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.92-1.13vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.62+1.95vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-1.21vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.22-2.12vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.69-1.48vs Predicted
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12Boston University-0.05-0.07vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-2.60vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.97-3.58vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-6.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87Bowdoin College2.077.7%1st Place
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4.1Yale University2.5519.2%1st Place
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8.55University of Rhode Island0.994.5%1st Place
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6.51Harvard University1.798.4%1st Place
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5.49Boston College2.0911.2%1st Place
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6.11Dartmouth College1.879.0%1st Place
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5.87Brown University1.929.1%1st Place
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9.95Roger Williams University0.622.9%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.6%1st Place
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7.88Northeastern University1.225.4%1st Place
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9.52Tufts University0.693.4%1st Place
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11.93Boston University-0.051.5%1st Place
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10.4University of Vermont0.483.2%1st Place
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10.42Salve Regina University0.972.9%1st Place
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8.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.085.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Emma Cowles | 19.2% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Bayless | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.4% |
| Emma Snead | 6.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 7.4% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 34.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 16.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.4% |
| Emily Scherer | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.