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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+1.25vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.38+1.25vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-0.01vs Predicted
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4Auburn University0.63+0.41vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.72-0.71vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-0.45-0.04vs Predicted
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7Auburn University-1.82+0.39vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-0.10-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25College of Charleston2.070.4%1st Place
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3.25North Carolina State University1.380.2%1st Place
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2.99Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.2%1st Place
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4.41Auburn University0.630.1%1st Place
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4.29Duke University0.720.1%1st Place
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5.96University of Georgia-0.450.0%1st Place
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7.39Auburn University-1.820.0%1st Place
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5.45Clemson University-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Baker | 38.0% | 26.5% | 17.4% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 17.7% | 19.0% | 20.9% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 20.8% | 22.0% | 21.7% | 17.3% | 11.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Wesley Wallace | 7.7% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 20.6% | 19.0% | 10.7% | 2.1% |
| Alexander Katsis | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 9.9% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Weber | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 19.4% | 34.6% | 15.4% |
| Logan Little | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 14.6% | 72.7% |
| Alexander Rigsby | 3.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 25.0% | 25.5% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.