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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.79+5.45vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.02vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+2.36vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.69+5.34vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.87+1.00vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+1.88vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.62+2.88vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.07-1.03vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.99-0.42vs Predicted
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10Boston University-0.05+2.08vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-2.27vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.97-1.61vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-2.39vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.22-6.07vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.92-9.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45Harvard University1.799.2%1st Place
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4.02Yale University2.5518.7%1st Place
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5.36Boston College2.0912.2%1st Place
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9.34Tufts University0.693.7%1st Place
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6.0Dartmouth College1.879.8%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.7%1st Place
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9.88Roger Williams University0.622.3%1st Place
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6.97Bowdoin College2.077.1%1st Place
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8.58University of Rhode Island0.994.0%1st Place
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12.08Boston University-0.051.2%1st Place
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8.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.084.7%1st Place
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10.39Salve Regina University0.972.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Vermont0.482.4%1st Place
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7.93Northeastern University1.225.5%1st Place
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5.8Brown University1.9211.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marbella Marlo | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.7% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Emma Snead | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 10.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 35.3% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 15.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 14.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.