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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+4.41vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.87+4.04vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.04+2.20vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.79+2.56vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.55-0.92vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+2.77vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.62+2.84vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99+0.70vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-1.12vs Predicted
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10Boston University-0.05+2.16vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.07-4.03vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.22-4.05vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.69-3.64vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-3.40vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Boston College2.0912.3%1st Place
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6.04Dartmouth College1.8710.4%1st Place
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5.2Brown University2.0411.8%1st Place
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6.56Harvard University1.798.0%1st Place
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4.08Yale University2.5518.4%1st Place
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8.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.084.3%1st Place
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9.84Roger Williams University0.623.4%1st Place
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8.7University of Rhode Island0.993.8%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.5%1st Place
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12.16Boston University-0.050.9%1st Place
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6.97Bowdoin College2.077.4%1st Place
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7.95Northeastern University1.225.2%1st Place
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9.36Tufts University0.693.2%1st Place
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10.6University of Vermont0.482.6%1st Place
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10.46Salve Regina University0.972.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.4% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Emma Snead | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Madeline Stull | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 36.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 7.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 16.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.