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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.12+2.53vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.54+2.71vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+1.71vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.93-0.05vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.51-2.06vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.14-0.57vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.39-0.43vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.78-3.72vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota2.53-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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4.71Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.71Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.95University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
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2.94Boston College3.510.3%1st Place
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5.43University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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6.57Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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4.28Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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4.58University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Jorgensen | 18.0% | 19.1% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 15.2% | 13.1% | 17.7% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 25.7% | 22.9% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 24.0% | 17.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 50.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 12.3% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.