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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+4.46vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.04+3.22vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.79+3.55vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+3.93vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+3.77vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.55-1.87vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.22+1.06vs Predicted
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8Boston University-0.05+3.97vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.07-1.97vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.87-3.88vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.69-1.71vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48-1.44vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.62-3.10vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.99-5.39vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Boston College2.0910.9%1st Place
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5.22Brown University2.0412.2%1st Place
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6.55Harvard University1.798.2%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.2%1st Place
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8.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.084.2%1st Place
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4.13Yale University2.5519.1%1st Place
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8.06Northeastern University1.225.0%1st Place
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11.97Boston University-0.051.4%1st Place
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7.03Bowdoin College2.077.5%1st Place
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6.12Dartmouth College1.8710.1%1st Place
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9.29Tufts University0.694.0%1st Place
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10.56University of Vermont0.482.1%1st Place
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9.9Roger Williams University0.623.5%1st Place
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8.61University of Rhode Island0.994.2%1st Place
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10.39Salve Regina University0.972.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Caroline Sibilly | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
Brielle Willoughby | 12.2% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Marbella Marlo | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
Emma Snead | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
Emily Scherer | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% |
Emma Cowles | 19.1% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Eva Ermlich | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
Madeline Stull | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 34.8% |
Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
Gray Hemans | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
Samantha Jensen | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 7.1% |
Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 16.7% |
Caylin Schnoor | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 10.5% |
Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.4% |
Olivia Lowthian | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.