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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.78+3.16vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+3.43vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.12+0.58vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.54+0.65vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.93-1.03vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.51-3.10vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54-2.35vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota2.53-3.25vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.39-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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5.43University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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3.58College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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4.65Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.97University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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2.9Boston College3.510.3%1st Place
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4.65Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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6.55Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Savoie | 12.7% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 20.6% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 18.3% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 9.9% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 13.4% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 26.6% | 22.9% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 9.9% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 18.3% | 48.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.