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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+4.33vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.87+4.10vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.04+2.32vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+0.01vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.62+4.71vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+1.94vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.79-0.46vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.07-0.92vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.99-0.39vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.16-1.25vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-2.27vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-3.87vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.97-2.70vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.05-1.99vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.13-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Boston College2.0913.2%1st Place
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6.1Dartmouth College1.879.4%1st Place
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5.32Brown University2.0411.4%1st Place
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4.01Yale University2.5519.0%1st Place
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9.71Roger Williams University0.623.0%1st Place
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7.94Northeastern University1.225.2%1st Place
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6.54Harvard University1.797.4%1st Place
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7.08Bowdoin College2.076.3%1st Place
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8.61University of Rhode Island0.994.6%1st Place
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8.75Tufts University1.164.2%1st Place
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8.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.085.3%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.5%1st Place
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10.3Salve Regina University0.972.8%1st Place
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12.01Boston University-0.051.7%1st Place
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11.43University of Vermont-0.131.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.2% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 19.0% | 17.5% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 8.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Marbella Marlo | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.1% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Emily Scherer | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% |
| Emma Snead | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 12.6% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 18.6% | 32.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.