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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+2.90vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+3.45vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+1.63vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.78+0.20vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.12-1.39vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.51-3.10vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54-2.37vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota2.53-3.26vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.39-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
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5.45University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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4.63Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.2Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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3.61College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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2.9Boston College3.510.3%1st Place
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4.63Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.74University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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6.56Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 15.9% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 20.8% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 10.9% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 11.9% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 15.9% | 19.4% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 26.5% | 21.9% | 19.0% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 10.9% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 18.9% | 47.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.