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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.91+1.45vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.40-0.63vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.32-0.08vs Predicted
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4Yale University0.34-0.16vs Predicted
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5Bentley University-0.45-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.910.2%1st Place
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1.37Brown University3.400.7%1st Place
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2.92Yale University1.320.1%1st Place
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3.84Yale University0.340.0%1st Place
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4.42Bentley University-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Chronert | 17.2% | 38.9% | 28.4% | 13.2% | 2.3% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 69.6% | 24.5% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Ell | 9.3% | 23.3% | 38.4% | 24.1% | 4.9% |
| Zachary Foreman | 2.8% | 7.9% | 19.9% | 41.5% | 27.9% |
| Ben Dexter | 1.1% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 20.2% | 64.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.