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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+2.97vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.79+4.66vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+2.31vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.62+5.87vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.04+0.21vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.87+0.17vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.22+0.86vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99+0.73vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-0.16vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.07-3.15vs Predicted
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11Boston University-0.05+1.04vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.13-0.54vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.16-4.20vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-6.19vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97Yale University2.5520.1%1st Place
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6.66Harvard University1.797.7%1st Place
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5.31Boston College2.0913.4%1st Place
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9.87Roger Williams University0.622.7%1st Place
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5.21Brown University2.0412.7%1st Place
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6.17Dartmouth College1.8710.2%1st Place
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7.86Northeastern University1.224.8%1st Place
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8.73University of Rhode Island0.994.1%1st Place
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8.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.083.8%1st Place
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6.85Bowdoin College2.077.4%1st Place
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12.04Boston University-0.051.2%1st Place
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11.46University of Vermont-0.131.4%1st Place
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8.8Tufts University1.163.8%1st Place
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7.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.8%1st Place
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10.4Salve Regina University0.972.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 20.1% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marbella Marlo | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.4% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 12.7% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 16.8% | 33.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 24.4% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 4.1% |
| Emma Snead | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.