← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.12+2.47vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University2.54+2.71vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College2.78+1.21vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.51-1.05vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California2.93-1.06vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University2.54-1.29vs Predicted
-
7University of Minnesota2.53-2.36vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-2.45vs Predicted
-
9Tulane University1.39-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.47College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
-
4.71Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
-
4.21Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
-
2.95Boston College3.510.3%1st Place
-
3.94University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
-
4.71Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
-
4.64University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
-
5.55University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
-
6.54Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Jorgensen | 19.9% | 17.7% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 9.9% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 13.1% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 25.9% | 24.3% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 12.4% | 16.3% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 9.9% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 21.2% | 22.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 19.4% | 46.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.