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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+2.86vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.54+2.65vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.51-0.09vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.78+0.22vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.53-0.29vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.54-1.35vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-1.51vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.12-4.36vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.39-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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4.65Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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2.91Boston College3.510.3%1st Place
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4.22Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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4.71University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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4.65Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.49University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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3.64College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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6.52Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 14.9% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 26.9% | 21.9% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 11.7% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 8.8% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 21.3% | 21.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 18.0% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 20.0% | 46.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.