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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.12+2.50vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.93+1.95vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+1.63vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+1.55vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.78-0.78vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.51-3.10vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54-2.37vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota2.53-3.28vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.39-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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3.95University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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4.63Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.55University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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4.22Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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2.9Boston College3.510.3%1st Place
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4.63Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.72University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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6.52Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Jorgensen | 19.5% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 13.7% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 10.7% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 20.6% | 22.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 11.5% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 25.8% | 23.9% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 10.7% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 12.2% | 20.0% | 45.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.