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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.54+3.49vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+3.35vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+1.49vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.93-0.11vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.78-0.83vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota2.53-1.38vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.51-4.13vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.12-4.41vs Predicted
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9Tulane University0.89-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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4.49Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.89University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
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4.17Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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4.62University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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2.87Boston College3.510.3%1st Place
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3.59College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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7.03Tulane University0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Lippincott | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 22.3% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 15.7% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 12.1% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 9.1% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 26.7% | 23.5% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 18.4% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Oswalt | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 14.6% | 63.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.