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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.54+3.50vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.12+1.56vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+2.27vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.93-0.09vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.51-2.09vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.54-1.50vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota2.53-2.41vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.78-3.79vs Predicted
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9Tulane University0.89-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.56College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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5.27University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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3.91University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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2.91Boston College3.510.3%1st Place
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4.5Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.59University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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4.21Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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7.06Tulane University0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Lippincott | 9.8% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 18.0% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 17.9% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 22.9% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 14.1% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 27.5% | 20.6% | 19.3% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 9.8% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 9.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 13.5% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Oswalt | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 15.3% | 63.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.