Race 1A

saisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sydney Monahan 11.2% 10.8% 12.8% 12.1% 10.7% 12.6% 11.7% 8.8% 5.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.4%
Eden Nykamp 16.2% 15.3% 14.5% 15.2% 13.4% 10.2% 6.9% 4.4% 2.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Emily Allen 17.1% 17.1% 15.3% 13.0% 11.6% 10.3% 7.4% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Katie Nelson 9.5% 9.3% 11.8% 11.7% 11.1% 12.7% 11.2% 10.1% 6.2% 4.5% 1.6% 0.2%
Olivia Sowa 10.8% 13.5% 12.8% 12.3% 12.8% 12.7% 10.2% 7.8% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Grace Squires 20.1% 17.8% 15.2% 13.2% 11.3% 8.8% 6.6% 4.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Marina Geilen 4.0% 4.5% 4.3% 5.9% 7.7% 8.2% 12.3% 13.6% 14.3% 12.6% 9.0% 3.6%
Sofia Scarpa 2.8% 2.5% 3.0% 3.4% 3.9% 6.0% 7.3% 10.2% 14.2% 15.6% 17.0% 14.3%
Naomi Sterlingsdottir 2.5% 1.9% 2.8% 3.8% 4.2% 5.8% 6.9% 10.7% 14.3% 17.3% 17.2% 12.6%
Lauren Mellinger 2.1% 2.1% 1.7% 2.7% 2.8% 2.9% 5.1% 6.8% 10.0% 16.4% 21.6% 26.0%
Sarah Weese 1.1% 1.4% 1.8% 2.1% 2.9% 2.6% 4.2% 6.9% 8.6% 13.4% 18.6% 36.5%
KA Hamner 2.5% 3.9% 4.0% 4.7% 7.6% 7.4% 10.2% 12.5% 14.8% 13.3% 13.0% 6.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.