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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+4.24vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.78+2.20vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+1.56vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.12-0.43vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.54-0.44vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.51-3.09vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.93-3.16vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota2.53-3.37vs Predicted
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9Tulane University0.89-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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4.2Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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4.56Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.57College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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4.56Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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2.91Boston College3.510.3%1st Place
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3.84University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
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4.63University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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7.05Tulane University0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 22.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 11.6% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 11.1% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 17.1% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 11.1% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 26.7% | 22.7% | 17.5% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 15.4% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 10.6% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Oswalt | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 64.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.