Race 2A

saisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Emily Allen 17.3% 15.3% 14.9% 16.2% 11.9% 10.3% 7.0% 3.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Sydney Monahan 9.2% 9.8% 12.0% 11.4% 13.0% 12.9% 11.4% 10.4% 5.2% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2%
Eden Nykamp 16.9% 15.9% 14.6% 13.1% 13.2% 10.1% 8.1% 4.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Olivia Sowa 12.6% 11.8% 13.2% 11.6% 13.0% 10.7% 9.7% 8.0% 5.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Grace Squires 18.9% 17.4% 14.5% 14.3% 11.1% 9.3% 7.0% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Katie Nelson 9.7% 9.3% 10.8% 11.5% 12.0% 10.7% 12.2% 11.2% 7.3% 3.4% 1.8% 0.2%
Sofia Scarpa 2.4% 3.4% 2.4% 3.5% 4.2% 5.3% 7.8% 10.8% 13.2% 16.0% 16.6% 14.5%
Marina Geilen 4.7% 4.7% 5.0% 6.2% 7.2% 8.8% 10.7% 12.4% 14.2% 12.0% 9.4% 4.6%
KA Hamner 3.5% 5.0% 4.9% 4.9% 5.9% 8.2% 9.7% 12.3% 14.6% 14.1% 11.2% 5.8%
Lauren Mellinger 1.6% 1.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.5% 4.3% 5.5% 6.2% 10.1% 16.1% 20.3% 27.1%
Sarah Weese 0.9% 1.8% 2.1% 1.4% 2.0% 2.8% 4.7% 7.0% 9.0% 12.8% 21.2% 34.5%
Naomi Sterlingsdottir 2.6% 3.8% 3.4% 3.8% 4.0% 6.7% 6.3% 9.3% 14.0% 16.9% 16.2% 13.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.