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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.12+2.46vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.51+0.90vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+1.56vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.54+0.56vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.93-1.12vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.78-1.88vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-1.59vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota2.53-3.38vs Predicted
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9Tulane University0.89-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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2.9Boston College3.510.3%1st Place
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4.56Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.56Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.88University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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4.12Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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5.41University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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4.62University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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7.05Tulane University0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Jorgensen | 19.1% | 19.2% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 26.9% | 22.0% | 17.9% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 9.9% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 9.9% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 14.6% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 11.5% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 23.9% | 16.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Oswalt | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 17.4% | 62.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.