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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+4.33vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.54+2.69vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.53+1.66vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.93-0.02vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.12-1.42vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.78-1.83vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54-2.31vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.51-4.98vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.39-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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4.69Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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3.98University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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3.58College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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4.17Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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4.69Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.02Boston College3.510.3%1st Place
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6.55Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 21.4% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 10.7% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 13.7% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 17.3% | 19.0% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 13.3% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 25.8% | 21.7% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 18.1% | 48.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.