Race 3A

saisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sydney Monahan 11.3% 10.5% 11.2% 11.5% 12.2% 12.0% 11.2% 9.8% 6.1% 2.6% 1.2% 0.2%
Emily Allen 17.9% 17.0% 15.3% 12.8% 11.1% 10.7% 7.4% 4.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Katie Nelson 9.1% 10.3% 9.9% 11.6% 12.2% 11.6% 11.8% 9.8% 7.8% 3.9% 1.7% 0.4%
Eden Nykamp 15.9% 15.8% 17.0% 14.0% 11.8% 9.4% 7.1% 4.4% 3.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Marina Geilen 3.5% 4.5% 5.1% 6.3% 6.8% 9.7% 10.4% 13.2% 15.5% 12.4% 8.8% 3.6%
Grace Squires 18.5% 17.5% 14.0% 13.9% 12.3% 9.6% 6.6% 4.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Olivia Sowa 12.2% 10.8% 13.1% 12.2% 13.6% 11.6% 10.4% 7.5% 4.9% 2.9% 0.5% 0.4%
Naomi Sterlingsdottir 2.1% 3.1% 2.7% 3.2% 4.5% 5.7% 7.4% 11.1% 12.8% 17.3% 17.3% 12.7%
KA Hamner 3.2% 4.3% 5.1% 5.4% 6.2% 8.0% 10.8% 12.3% 13.3% 13.9% 11.4% 6.1%
Lauren Mellinger 1.8% 2.0% 2.3% 3.1% 2.9% 3.8% 5.3% 7.0% 10.9% 14.5% 20.8% 25.5%
Sofia Scarpa 2.6% 2.9% 2.5% 3.4% 4.0% 4.7% 7.0% 10.3% 12.9% 16.2% 18.4% 14.9%
Sarah Weese 1.7% 1.1% 1.8% 2.7% 2.4% 3.4% 4.5% 6.0% 7.8% 13.7% 19.3% 35.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.