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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.54+3.59vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.93+1.99vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+1.59vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.78+0.21vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.51-2.07vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-0.44vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.12-3.47vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota2.53-3.31vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.39-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.99University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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4.59Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.21Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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2.93Boston College3.510.3%1st Place
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5.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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3.53College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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4.69University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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6.5Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Lippincott | 9.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 13.8% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 9.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 13.6% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 26.2% | 21.2% | 19.1% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 21.8% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 18.2% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 9.9% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 13.4% | 18.5% | 45.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.