Race 4A

saisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Emily Allen 17.0% 16.5% 16.6% 13.8% 13.2% 9.5% 7.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Olivia Sowa 12.7% 13.7% 12.3% 12.6% 11.4% 11.9% 10.8% 7.7% 4.2% 1.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Grace Squires 17.8% 16.4% 17.1% 15.1% 10.4% 9.9% 5.9% 4.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Sydney Monahan 9.8% 11.1% 11.7% 12.3% 11.7% 13.1% 12.1% 8.4% 6.2% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Katie Nelson 10.8% 11.0% 9.8% 11.5% 12.1% 12.2% 11.7% 10.3% 6.5% 2.8% 1.4% 0.1%
Eden Nykamp 18.1% 15.2% 14.4% 12.6% 13.9% 9.7% 8.1% 5.1% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Marina Geilen 3.9% 4.5% 5.9% 5.8% 8.3% 9.4% 11.7% 15.6% 14.1% 13.0% 7.2% 0.7%
Sofia Scarpa 2.3% 2.5% 2.9% 4.3% 4.9% 5.0% 7.8% 11.0% 14.9% 18.4% 20.4% 5.5%
Naomi Sterlingsdottir 2.8% 2.9% 2.6% 3.1% 4.3% 5.5% 7.6% 11.0% 15.7% 19.3% 20.2% 5.0%
KA Hamner 3.2% 4.5% 4.2% 4.7% 6.9% 8.5% 10.8% 13.2% 16.9% 15.6% 9.8% 1.7%
Lauren Mellinger 1.2% 1.7% 2.0% 3.7% 2.5% 4.8% 5.3% 8.1% 12.1% 18.8% 29.2% 10.8%
Emma Pope 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.8% 3.7% 5.2% 9.4% 76.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.