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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.54+3.50vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.51+0.88vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.78+1.16vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+1.45vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.12-1.49vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.93-2.17vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54-2.50vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota2.53-3.39vs Predicted
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9Tulane University0.89-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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2.88Boston College3.510.3%1st Place
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4.16Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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5.45University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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3.51College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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3.83University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
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4.5Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.61University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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7.04Tulane University0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Lippincott | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 26.7% | 22.1% | 18.4% | 14.5% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 13.3% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 25.3% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 16.6% | 20.5% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 15.1% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 10.6% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Oswalt | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 16.3% | 62.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.