Race 5A

saisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sydney Monahan 11.2% 11.1% 11.3% 12.5% 12.4% 11.6% 12.0% 9.2% 5.1% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Eden Nykamp 16.4% 16.0% 15.2% 12.7% 12.4% 10.9% 8.2% 5.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Katie Nelson 10.1% 10.8% 12.0% 11.2% 11.2% 12.3% 11.3% 8.8% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Emily Allen 15.3% 16.4% 14.0% 15.6% 14.1% 10.2% 7.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Olivia Sowa 13.2% 12.2% 12.3% 12.7% 11.5% 11.5% 10.2% 7.5% 5.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Grace Squires 18.7% 17.0% 14.5% 13.8% 13.2% 9.6% 6.6% 4.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Sofia Scarpa 2.5% 2.7% 3.2% 3.1% 3.8% 6.6% 7.2% 10.1% 15.7% 20.1% 20.6% 4.6%
KA Hamner 3.5% 4.5% 5.6% 5.0% 6.0% 8.1% 10.6% 13.8% 15.5% 15.2% 9.6% 2.5%
Marina Geilen 4.3% 4.8% 5.9% 6.7% 6.9% 9.1% 11.2% 14.5% 14.6% 13.1% 7.4% 1.5%
Naomi Sterlingsdottir 2.5% 2.5% 3.1% 3.8% 4.4% 5.5% 9.0% 11.9% 14.8% 18.9% 18.8% 4.7%
Lauren Mellinger 1.7% 1.6% 2.4% 2.8% 3.3% 4.0% 5.3% 8.2% 11.9% 17.4% 30.2% 11.2%
Emma Pope 0.7% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 5.2% 10.8% 75.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.