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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.51+1.81vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.54+2.61vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.78+1.14vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.54+0.61vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+0.45vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.12-2.50vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.93-3.16vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota2.53-3.40vs Predicted
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9Tulane University0.89-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Boston College3.510.3%1st Place
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4.61Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.14Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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4.61Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.45University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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3.5College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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3.84University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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4.6University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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7.05Tulane University0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Hudson | 29.4% | 22.4% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 12.1% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 26.7% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 16.1% | 20.1% | 18.3% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 14.8% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 10.9% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Oswalt | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 14.9% | 63.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.