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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+1.28vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.09+1.33vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.48+1.74vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.09-0.38vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College-0.17+1.07vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.37+0.33vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.99+0.61vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.84-0.50vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-2.44+1.18vs Predicted
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10Florida State University0.05-4.35vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-2.83-0.34vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-2.33-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28College of Charleston1.8137.0%1st Place
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3.33University of South Florida1.0919.1%1st Place
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4.74Jacksonville University0.488.6%1st Place
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3.62North Carolina State University1.0915.8%1st Place
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6.07Eckerd College-0.174.5%1st Place
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6.33University of Miami-0.374.8%1st Place
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7.61Florida Institute of Technology-0.992.2%1st Place
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7.5Rollins College-0.841.7%1st Place
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10.18Georgia Institute of Technology-2.440.4%1st Place
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5.65Florida State University0.055.1%1st Place
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10.66University of Georgia-2.830.3%1st Place
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10.04Embry-Riddle University-2.330.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 37.0% | 27.4% | 17.6% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 19.1% | 19.8% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 15.8% | 17.4% | 18.5% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Annslee Maloy | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 17.5% | 19.5% | 15.3% | 7.2% | 1.5% |
| Emily Threeton | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 19.9% | 14.3% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Charlotte Meyers | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 9.6% | 21.2% | 27.0% | 28.0% |
| Niah Ford | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 13.1% | 27.4% | 43.2% |
| Samantha Piccerillo | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 20.3% | 28.5% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.