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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.78+3.11vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.51+0.94vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+1.64vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.54+0.64vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+0.56vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.93-2.03vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.12-3.44vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota2.53-3.29vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.39-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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2.94Boston College3.510.3%1st Place
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4.64Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.64Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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3.97University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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3.56College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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4.71University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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6.52Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Savoie | 13.8% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 26.3% | 21.9% | 18.6% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 20.4% | 22.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 13.0% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 17.6% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 12.6% | 20.7% | 44.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.