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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+1.28vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.48+2.71vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.09+0.33vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.09-0.31vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.05+0.61vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College-0.17+0.02vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.84+0.49vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.99-0.30vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.37-2.75vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-2.33+0.02vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-2.83-0.27vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-2.44-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28College of Charleston1.8138.4%1st Place
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4.71Jacksonville University0.488.9%1st Place
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3.33University of South Florida1.0919.1%1st Place
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3.69North Carolina State University1.0913.4%1st Place
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5.61Florida State University0.055.8%1st Place
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6.02Eckerd College-0.174.4%1st Place
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7.49Rollins College-0.842.9%1st Place
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7.7Florida Institute of Technology-0.992.0%1st Place
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6.25University of Miami-0.373.6%1st Place
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10.02Embry-Riddle University-2.330.8%1st Place
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10.73University of Georgia-2.830.3%1st Place
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10.17Georgia Institute of Technology-2.440.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 38.4% | 26.2% | 17.1% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 19.1% | 19.8% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 13.4% | 18.9% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Threeton | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 14.9% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Annslee Maloy | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 21.4% | 14.8% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Piccerillo | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 21.1% | 28.5% | 24.3% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 14.6% | 24.9% | 44.9% |
| Charlotte Meyers | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 19.4% | 30.0% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.