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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.78+3.10vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.51+0.94vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+1.66vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.12-0.36vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+0.55vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.54-1.34vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.93-3.11vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota2.53-3.28vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.39-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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2.94Boston College3.510.3%1st Place
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4.66Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.64College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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5.55University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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4.66Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.89University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
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4.72University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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6.5Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Savoie | 14.0% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 26.0% | 21.3% | 20.2% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 10.6% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 16.0% | 18.5% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 22.4% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 10.6% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 15.1% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 19.4% | 45.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.