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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.12+2.48vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.78+2.23vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.93+0.95vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.51-1.05vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.54-0.36vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.54-1.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-1.50vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota2.53-3.29vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.39-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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4.23Eckerd College2.780.1%1st Place
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3.95University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
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2.95Boston College3.510.3%1st Place
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4.64Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.64Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.5University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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4.71University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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6.54Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Jorgensen | 18.7% | 19.8% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 11.8% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 15.3% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 25.5% | 23.4% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 9.7% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 9.7% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 19.8% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Payne | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 20.3% | 45.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.