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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.46+5.74vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.72+7.69vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.68+3.18vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.55+2.73vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo1.34+6.01vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.29vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+1.59vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-1.21vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87-3.33vs Predicted
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10Hampton University2.11-1.87vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia0.55+2.67vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24+2.46vs Predicted
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13Princeton University1.50-2.30vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.77-4.30vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland2.18-7.00vs Predicted
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16Drexel University1.64-5.80vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University1.40-5.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.69William and Mary1.720.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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6.73Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.01University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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5.71U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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6.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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5.67Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.13Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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13.67University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
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14.46University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
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10.7Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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9.7George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.0University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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10.2Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.03Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Buhl | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Adam Siegel | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Michael Russom | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Conor Cashel | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Luke Miller | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 6.4% |
| Marissa Lihan | 11.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Marissa Golison | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Linda Codega | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 20.8% | 28.5% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 16.7% | 42.9% |
| Gene Merewether | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 4.9% |
| Jay Spector | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Chris Myers | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Murphy | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.