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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.09+2.38vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.05+3.64vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81-0.64vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology-0.99+3.72vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.84+2.57vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.82-1.83vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.17-0.82vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.37-1.65vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.09-5.27vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-2.83+0.62vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-2.44-0.74vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-2.33-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38University of South Florida1.0918.4%1st Place
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5.64Florida State University0.055.7%1st Place
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2.36College of Charleston1.8135.8%1st Place
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7.72Florida Institute of Technology-0.992.1%1st Place
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7.57Rollins College-0.842.2%1st Place
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4.17Jacksonville University0.8212.4%1st Place
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6.18Eckerd College-0.173.5%1st Place
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6.35University of Miami-0.373.9%1st Place
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3.73North Carolina State University1.0914.8%1st Place
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10.62University of Georgia-2.830.5%1st Place
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10.26Georgia Institute of Technology-2.440.4%1st Place
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10.02Embry-Riddle University-2.330.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 18.4% | 19.3% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 35.8% | 24.8% | 19.9% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annslee Maloy | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 21.8% | 15.6% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Emily Threeton | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 18.7% | 14.5% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Agija Elerte | 12.4% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 14.8% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 13.9% | 25.6% | 43.4% |
| Charlotte Meyers | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 19.6% | 28.5% | 29.0% |
| Samantha Piccerillo | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 21.3% | 28.8% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.