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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.46+5.76vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.68+4.09vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.72+6.73vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland2.18+4.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+3.45vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.11+2.50vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-0.17vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo1.34+2.94vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.34vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.77-0.58vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.87-5.27vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.55-5.33vs Predicted
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13Princeton University1.50-2.28vs Predicted
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14Drexel University1.64-3.75vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-0.65vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.55-2.25vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University1.40-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.09University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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9.73William and Mary1.720.0%1st Place
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8.08University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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8.5Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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6.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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10.94University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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5.66U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.42George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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5.73Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.67Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.72Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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10.25Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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14.35University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
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13.75University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
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11.08Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Buhl | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Adam Siegel | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Luke Miller | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 6.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 9.7% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 13.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Conor Cashel | 8.3% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Gene Merewether | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.4% |
| Chris Myers | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 17.2% | 41.6% |
| Linda Codega | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 21.2% | 26.9% |
| Andrew Murphy | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.