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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.46+5.80vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.87+3.47vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+3.84vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.68+2.26vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.35vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.55+0.81vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland2.18+1.06vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.77+1.36vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University1.40+2.15vs Predicted
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10Drexel University1.64-0.01vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo1.34+0.25vs Predicted
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12William and Mary1.72-2.27vs Predicted
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13Hampton University2.11-4.60vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.55-0.23vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-6.39vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-1.50vs Predicted
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17Princeton University1.50-6.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.47Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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6.26University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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5.35U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.81Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.06University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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9.36George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.15Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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9.99Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.25University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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9.73William and Mary1.720.0%1st Place
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8.4Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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13.77University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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14.5University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
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10.63Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Buhl | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Russom | 11.0% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 13.2% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Jay Spector | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Murphy | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 6.5% |
| Chris Myers | 2.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Luke Miller | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 7.6% |
| Adam Siegel | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Linda Codega | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 20.2% | 28.8% |
| Austin Neuman | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 40.8% |
| Gene Merewether | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.