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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.22+7.36vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.50+5.39vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+5.48vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+4.42vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.67+1.88vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.73+4.49vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.48+0.66vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.92+1.66vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.74+1.35vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02-0.53vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.86-1.06vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-4.38vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.39-5.16vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.50-6.70vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-5.26vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.79-9.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.36College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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7.39Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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8.48Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.88Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.49Bowdoin College2.730.0%1st Place
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7.66Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.66Connecticut College2.920.0%1st Place
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10.35Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.47University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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7.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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7.84Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.3Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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6.4Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hall | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Charlotte Williamson | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 16.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Lucy Wallace | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 15.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.8% |
| Mayumi Roller | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Morgan Wilson | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.2% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.