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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Corey Hall 5.1% 7.2% 6.0% 7.7% 6.9% 5.4% 7.0% 5.6% 5.8% 6.1% 8.3% 6.0% 5.3% 7.0% 5.7% 4.9%
Emily Maxwell 8.0% 8.9% 7.6% 7.5% 6.9% 6.9% 6.8% 7.5% 6.7% 6.0% 5.6% 5.5% 5.6% 4.2% 3.8% 2.5%
Chandler Salisbury 6.0% 6.4% 5.4% 5.4% 6.8% 6.3% 5.4% 7.3% 7.1% 7.2% 7.2% 6.9% 6.4% 5.7% 5.5% 5.0%
Krysta Rohde 5.0% 7.6% 7.2% 5.4% 6.0% 5.7% 6.0% 7.0% 6.6% 8.0% 5.7% 6.0% 6.5% 6.2% 7.0% 4.1%
Emily Lambert 8.8% 8.9% 7.3% 9.0% 10.1% 7.1% 7.0% 7.2% 5.9% 6.0% 5.5% 5.3% 4.9% 3.5% 2.3% 1.2%
Charlotte Williamson 3.0% 2.4% 4.5% 3.9% 4.2% 6.0% 4.9% 5.0% 5.2% 6.8% 5.2% 5.5% 7.9% 8.0% 11.5% 16.0%
Natalie Salk 9.1% 6.8% 7.1% 5.6% 6.7% 8.1% 7.8% 6.6% 5.9% 6.0% 5.4% 7.1% 6.3% 5.2% 3.5% 2.8%
Lucy Wallace 4.7% 5.0% 4.7% 4.8% 4.8% 5.0% 4.6% 5.0% 6.7% 6.9% 5.5% 6.1% 8.4% 8.6% 8.4% 10.8%
Elizabeth Glivinski 4.0% 2.8% 4.8% 3.4% 3.6% 4.8% 4.9% 6.6% 5.3% 4.4% 7.4% 7.2% 7.0% 9.1% 9.5% 15.2%
Chanel Miller 4.9% 5.6% 4.1% 3.9% 5.3% 4.8% 5.0% 5.9% 5.4% 7.7% 7.3% 8.4% 8.2% 8.3% 6.9% 8.3%
Alexandra Arntsen 5.3% 4.1% 3.6% 4.8% 5.2% 4.6% 5.1% 4.5% 5.2% 6.0% 6.1% 6.4% 7.1% 9.2% 11.0% 11.8%
Mayumi Roller 7.7% 7.2% 7.7% 8.9% 7.1% 7.0% 5.6% 5.8% 6.5% 5.5% 7.3% 5.7% 6.0% 5.1% 3.9% 3.0%
Morgan Wilson 6.1% 7.6% 7.6% 6.7% 5.8% 7.2% 6.7% 7.2% 8.6% 7.6% 4.6% 6.4% 5.0% 5.5% 4.7% 2.7%
Claire Dennis 8.1% 6.9% 8.4% 8.4% 7.3% 8.2% 7.3% 7.3% 6.6% 4.9% 6.4% 5.5% 4.8% 3.9% 3.4% 2.6%
Katii Gullick 4.5% 3.5% 5.1% 3.8% 5.0% 5.2% 6.5% 5.8% 5.4% 5.6% 7.3% 6.7% 7.4% 8.9% 11.1% 8.2%
Elizabeth Barry 9.7% 9.1% 8.9% 10.8% 8.3% 7.7% 9.4% 5.7% 7.1% 5.3% 5.2% 5.3% 3.2% 1.6% 1.8% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.