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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+2.36vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-1.38+1.33vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.58+2.46vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.60-0.36vs Predicted
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5University of Florida-0.98+2.58vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.26+0.16vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.03-0.29vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.46-0.16vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.73-4.22vs Predicted
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10Florida State University-0.27-2.71vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-1.67-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36College of Charleston1.8121.1%1st Place
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3.33Jacksonville University-1.3821.6%1st Place
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5.46Rollins College0.587.1%1st Place
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3.64University of South Florida1.6019.4%1st Place
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7.58University of Florida-0.982.8%1st Place
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6.16North Carolina State University0.265.9%1st Place
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6.71University of Miami-0.035.0%1st Place
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7.84University of North Carolina-0.462.6%1st Place
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4.78Clemson University0.7310.1%1st Place
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7.29Florida State University-0.273.5%1st Place
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9.84University of Central Florida-1.670.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 21.1% | 18.9% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 21.6% | 20.4% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 19.4% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Ryder | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 19.4% | 9.4% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 5.9% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 4.2% |
| May Proctor | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 22.4% | 12.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 10.1% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Tia Schoening | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 7.3% |
| Rain Hong | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 13.7% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.