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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+5.66vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.46+4.83vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.68+3.18vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.55+2.68vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.87+0.48vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+2.76vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.52vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland2.18-0.13vs Predicted
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9Hampton University2.11-0.56vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia0.55+3.67vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University1.40+0.04vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.77-2.49vs Predicted
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13Drexel University1.64-2.81vs Predicted
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14William and Mary1.72-4.10vs Predicted
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15Princeton University1.50-4.47vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo1.34-4.77vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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6.83Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.18University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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6.68Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.48Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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5.48U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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8.44Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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13.67University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
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11.04Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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9.51George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.19Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.9William and Mary1.720.0%1st Place
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10.53Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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11.23University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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14.54University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Golison | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Russom | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Conor Cashel | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 12.6% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Linda Codega | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 20.4% | 25.5% |
| Andrew Murphy | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 6.1% |
| Jay Spector | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Chris Myers | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% |
| Adam Siegel | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Gene Merewether | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 4.2% |
| Luke Miller | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 7.8% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 17.9% | 43.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.