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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.25vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.46+4.78vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.68+3.08vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.87+1.54vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo1.34+5.94vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University1.40+5.08vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.77+2.50vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.110.00vs Predicted
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9Drexel University1.64+1.20vs Predicted
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10William and Mary1.37+0.87vs Predicted
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11Columbia University2.55-4.23vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland2.18-4.08vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-4.33vs Predicted
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14Princeton University1.50-3.36vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-0.72vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.55-2.33vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-10.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.78Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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5.54Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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10.94University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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11.08Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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9.5George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.0Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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10.2Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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10.87William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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6.77Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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10.64Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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14.28University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
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13.67University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
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6.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Lihan | 14.4% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Michael Russom | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 11.9% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Miller | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 6.7% |
| Andrew Murphy | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 6.2% |
| Jay Spector | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Chris Myers | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 3.6% |
| Bill Parker | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 5.7% |
| Conor Cashel | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Austin Neuman | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Gene Merewether | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 5.0% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 41.2% |
| Linda Codega | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 12.9% | 18.2% | 27.2% |
| Marissa Golison | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.