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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.46+5.76vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.39vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+3.80vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.87+1.57vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.68+0.95vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.77+3.60vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo1.34+4.05vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.11+0.08vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia0.55+4.75vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24+4.41vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University1.40-0.07vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland2.18-4.08vs Predicted
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13William and Mary1.37-1.97vs Predicted
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14Princeton University1.50-3.39vs Predicted
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15Columbia University2.55-8.39vs Predicted
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16Drexel University1.64-5.98vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-8.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.39U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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5.57Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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9.6George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.05University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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8.08Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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13.75University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
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14.41University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
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10.93Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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7.92University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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11.03William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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10.61Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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6.61Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.02Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Buhl | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 13.4% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 12.6% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Michael Russom | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Luke Miller | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 4.8% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Linda Codega | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 17.5% | 30.3% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 40.1% |
| Andrew Murphy | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 5.7% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Bill Parker | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 6.7% |
| Gene Merewether | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% |
| Conor Cashel | 8.7% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Chris Myers | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| Austin Neuman | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.