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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.87+4.47vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.42vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.68+3.20vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+1.13vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.64+4.81vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.55+0.80vs Predicted
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7William and Mary1.37+3.94vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University2.46-1.16vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University1.40+2.03vs Predicted
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10Hampton University2.11-1.90vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.77-1.40vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland2.18-4.10vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo1.34-1.86vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.65-3.94vs Predicted
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15Princeton University1.50-4.57vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-1.53vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.55-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.42U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.2University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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5.13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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9.81Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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6.8Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.94William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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6.84Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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11.03Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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8.1Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.6George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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7.9University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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11.14University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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10.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.650.0%1st Place
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10.43Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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14.47University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
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13.65University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corina Radtke | 14.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 13.7% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Conor Cashel | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Bill Parker | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 4.7% |
| Ben Buhl | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 5.6% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Jay Spector | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Luke Miller | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 6.8% |
| Francois Conde-Jahn | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Gene Merewether | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 18.3% | 40.4% |
| Linda Codega | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 19.9% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.