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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.38vs Predicted
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2Drexel University1.64+7.85vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.46+3.93vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.68+2.20vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-0.04vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.77+3.64vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.87-1.46vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.11+0.10vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland2.18-0.89vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University1.40+0.81vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.65-0.98vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.55-5.39vs Predicted
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13William and Mary1.37-1.96vs Predicted
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14Princeton University1.50-3.36vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo1.34-3.94vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-1.52vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.55-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.85Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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6.93Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.2University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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4.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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9.64George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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5.54Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.1Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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8.11University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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10.81Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.650.0%1st Place
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6.61Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.04William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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10.64Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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11.06University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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14.48University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
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13.64University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Lihan | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 1.9% |
| Ben Buhl | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Michael Russom | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 14.6% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jay Spector | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 11.0% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 6.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Murphy | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 5.6% |
| Francois Conde-Jahn | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Conor Cashel | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Bill Parker | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 5.9% |
| Gene Merewether | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 4.5% |
| Luke Miller | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 6.7% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 17.9% | 40.3% |
| Linda Codega | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 20.5% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.