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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.42vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.50+8.36vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.46+3.96vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.87+1.66vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.68+1.08vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.55+0.79vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.11+1.22vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo1.34+2.87vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland2.18-0.92vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-5.00vs Predicted
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11Drexel University1.64-0.91vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.77-2.58vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University1.40-2.01vs Predicted
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14William and Mary1.37-2.91vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.65-5.10vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24-1.55vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.55-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.36Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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6.96Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.66Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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6.79Columbia University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.22Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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10.87University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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8.08University of Maryland2.180.0%1st Place
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5.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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10.09Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.42George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.99Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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11.09William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.650.0%1st Place
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14.45University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
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13.61University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Lihan | 13.2% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gene Merewether | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 3.2% |
| Ben Buhl | 8.6% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Luke Miller | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 13.4% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Jay Spector | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Murphy | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 5.6% |
| Bill Parker | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 5.7% |
| Francois Conde-Jahn | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 15.8% | 40.7% |
| Linda Codega | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 18.9% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.