← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.51+3.93vs Predicted
-
2Columbia University2.43+3.13vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+1.77vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University2.51+1.09vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania3.16-1.57vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+2.22vs Predicted
-
7William and Mary1.29+1.45vs Predicted
-
8Christopher Newport University1.57-0.51vs Predicted
-
9Princeton University0.03+3.01vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University2.67-5.42vs Predicted
-
11University of Virginia-1.52+4.22vs Predicted
-
12University of Buffalo0.92-2.57vs Predicted
-
13Syracuse University0.43-2.11vs Predicted
-
14Drexel University0.22-2.57vs Predicted
-
15University of Maryland-1.03-0.75vs Predicted
-
16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-1.23vs Predicted
-
17Hampton University-0.35-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.93U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
-
5.13Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
-
4.77St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.1%1st Place
-
5.09Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
-
3.43University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
-
8.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
-
8.45William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
-
7.49Christopher Newport University1.570.1%1st Place
-
12.01Princeton University0.030.0%1st Place
-
4.58George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
-
15.22University of Virginia-1.520.0%1st Place
-
9.43University of Buffalo0.920.0%1st Place
-
10.89Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
-
11.43Drexel University0.220.0%1st Place
-
14.25University of Maryland-1.030.0%1st Place
-
14.77University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
-
12.91Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Peck | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Galster | 10.7% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 23.4% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Richard Ross | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Sipp | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 12.9% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Keane | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 20.4% | 43.1% |
| Cem Ayanoglu | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Brandon Gotwalt | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 23.0% | 20.7% |
| Christopher Cormier | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 25.6% | 26.3% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.