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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.51+3.89vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.46vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.57+4.61vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+0.79vs Predicted
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5Columbia University2.43+0.08vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.51-0.91vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+1.07vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.67-3.46vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-1.03+5.46vs Predicted
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10Drexel University0.22+1.40vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.03+0.96vs Predicted
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12Hampton University-0.35+0.87vs Predicted
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13William and Mary1.29-4.54vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo0.92-4.50vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University0.43-4.16vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-1.29vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia-1.52-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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3.46University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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7.61Christopher Newport University1.570.0%1st Place
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4.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.1%1st Place
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5.08Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.09Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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4.54George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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14.46University of Maryland-1.030.0%1st Place
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11.4Drexel University0.220.0%1st Place
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11.96Princeton University0.030.0%1st Place
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12.87Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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8.46William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Buffalo0.920.0%1st Place
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10.84Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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14.71University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
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15.27University of Virginia-1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Peck | 12.1% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 22.9% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Ross | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Galster | 13.2% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 14.5% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Gotwalt | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 26.1% | 19.8% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Sipp | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 2.6% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 6.2% |
| Scott Guinn | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cem Ayanoglu | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Cormier | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 22.8% | 27.0% |
| Michael Keane | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 20.5% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.