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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.67+5.67vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+6.13vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+5.49vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.79+2.51vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.73+5.50vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.50+1.55vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.50+0.59vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.02+1.24vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.22-0.50vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.39-2.02vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-1.37vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.48-4.43vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-5.54vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.86-4.16vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.92-5.13vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.74-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.49Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.51Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.5Bowdoin College2.730.0%1st Place
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7.55Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.59Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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9.24University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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8.5College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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7.98Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.1%1st Place
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7.57Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.46St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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9.87Connecticut College2.920.0%1st Place
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10.46Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lambert | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Charlotte Williamson | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 13.6% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% |
| Corey Hall | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Katii Gullick | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% |
| Mayumi Roller | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.7% |
| Lucy Wallace | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.