← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+3.61vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.45vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University1.57+4.60vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.51+1.10vs Predicted
-
5Columbia University2.43+0.08vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+2.21vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University2.67-2.36vs Predicted
-
8University of Buffalo0.92+1.32vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University2.51-3.90vs Predicted
-
10Drexel University0.22+1.39vs Predicted
-
11William and Mary1.29-2.47vs Predicted
-
12Princeton University0.03-0.10vs Predicted
-
13Hampton University-0.35-0.15vs Predicted
-
14Syracuse University0.43-3.05vs Predicted
-
15University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-0.37vs Predicted
-
16University of Maryland-1.03-1.64vs Predicted
-
17University of Virginia-1.52-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.1%1st Place
-
3.45University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
-
7.6Christopher Newport University1.570.0%1st Place
-
5.1U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
-
5.08Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
-
8.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
-
4.64George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
-
9.32University of Buffalo0.920.0%1st Place
-
5.1Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
-
11.39Drexel University0.220.0%1st Place
-
8.53William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
-
11.9Princeton University0.030.0%1st Place
-
12.85Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
-
10.95Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
-
14.63University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
-
14.36University of Maryland-1.030.0%1st Place
-
15.29University of Virginia-1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Galster | 13.3% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 23.2% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Ross | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Peck | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 11.3% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 12.5% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cem Ayanoglu | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 9.3% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Scott Guinn | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Sipp | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 1.6% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 7.9% |
| Harmen Rockler | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Cormier | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 17.4% | 23.0% | 27.2% |
| Brandon Gotwalt | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 22.6% | 20.0% |
| Michael Keane | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 22.7% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.