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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.04+4.62vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy-0.22+11.37vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.19+2.32vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.93+5.91vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.22+3.76vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.96+3.79vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.09vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.86-1.01vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.99+0.63vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.10-4.31vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.71-4.00vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-3.21vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.68-2.44vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.45-5.39vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.51-7.31vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.48-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.62Brown University2.0412.2%1st Place
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13.37U. S. Naval Academy-0.220.9%1st Place
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5.32Stanford University2.1914.4%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University0.934.1%1st Place
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8.76Northeastern University1.224.9%1st Place
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9.79George Washington University0.964.0%1st Place
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6.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.2%1st Place
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6.99Yale University1.867.6%1st Place
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9.63University of Rhode Island0.993.0%1st Place
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5.69Harvard University2.1011.4%1st Place
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7.0Dartmouth College1.717.8%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.0%1st Place
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10.56Old Dominion University0.682.6%1st Place
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8.61University of Pennsylvania1.454.5%1st Place
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7.69Bowdoin College1.517.5%1st Place
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11.38University of Vermont0.481.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Fadullon | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 15.7% | 42.6% |
| Sophie Fisher | 14.4% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 6.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Megan Grimes | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Emma Snead | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Megan Geith | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 9.7% |
| Madeleine Rice | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.