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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.51+3.93vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+2.70vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.51+1.98vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.57+3.62vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.16-1.54vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.43-0.66vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo0.92+2.45vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-0.12vs Predicted
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9Drexel University0.22+2.50vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.03+1.91vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.67-6.32vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia-1.52+3.29vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University0.43-2.14vs Predicted
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14Hampton University-0.35-1.09vs Predicted
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15William and Mary1.29-6.61vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-1.03-1.62vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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4.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.1%1st Place
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4.98Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.62Christopher Newport University1.570.0%1st Place
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3.46University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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5.34Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.45University of Buffalo0.920.0%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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11.5Drexel University0.220.0%1st Place
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11.91Princeton University0.030.0%1st Place
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4.68George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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15.29University of Virginia-1.520.0%1st Place
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10.86Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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12.91Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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8.39William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
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14.38University of Maryland-1.030.0%1st Place
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14.74University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Peck | 11.9% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Galster | 12.6% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 9.0% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Ross | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 23.4% | 21.3% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 9.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cem Ayanoglu | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Sipp | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 14.6% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Keane | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 23.1% | 41.7% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 18.7% | 14.3% | 5.3% |
| Scott Guinn | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Gotwalt | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 18.8% | 22.9% | 19.6% |
| Christopher Cormier | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 23.0% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.